Showing posts with label Mises. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mises. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Numismatics informs Economics

If economists actually collected and studied the media of commerce, they would avoid errors common even to advocates of capitalism.  Milton Friedman and the monetists were not much smarter than Keynesians.  In fact, even von Mises and Marx made the same claims about the evolution of gold as the highest form of commodity money.  A numismatist knows better, and knows more.

"Bad money drives good money off the market" is a cliche.  More clarity comes from adding that both moneys must be declared equal by law.  In that case, the markets will operate. People will break (avoid, evade, ignore) the law. The undervalued money will go into other channels (savings, export) and the cheaper overvalued money will circulate.  


Social sciences attempt to mimic physical sciences with concise and precise laws about complicated phenomena.  But, even astronomy is theoretically limited to a two-body universe.  Add more bodies and the nice algebra of theory must give way to laborious numerical approximations.  So, too, with economics.  Gresham's Law applies to two currencies - say the silver dollar and the gold dollar; or to silver dollars of one standard versus minor coinage of another fineness.  Reality is more complicated than that.  As Hayek pointed out, a plethora of moneys circulate.  Economists just focus on one or two issues of the government.


Unfortunately, lacking knowledge of numismatics, Hayek could not state his case empirically.  The Austrian school is rationalist, deriving universal laws from a priori assumptions.  
Spanish 8-reales "dollar" a world trade coin
of the 18th and 19th centuries, this one
chopnarked by Chinese merchants


Many conservatives across the spectrum know that the US Silver Dollar was modeled on the Spanish 8 Reales of the 1780s.   Fewer know that until 1857, Spanish money was one of about a dozen foreign currencies in silver and gold that were legal tender in America, alongside issues of the Federal government.  Many banks of the time issued paper money that promised U.S. federal silver coin in redemption but showed pictures of Spanish and Mexican coins.  (See Spanish Coins on American Notes here.) 


From the beginning of the Federal Mint, there was always a push for alternate currencies to make daily commerce easier.  The US ten-cent dime and 25-cent quarter dollar were not commonly convenient.  Many people relied on worn Spanish pistareens or "fips."  These were approximately half-reales (about 12-1/2 cents when full and new) but circulated at different values depending on circumstances.   That is a basic lesson for economists: to see what people actually do, not to prescribe how they should conduct business. 

In apparent violation of Gresham's Law, presenting a test case for hard money conservatives, the US Mint 3-cent silver and 3-cent nickel circulated side-by-side. The base metal coin did not drive the precious metal competitor from the market.  The same was true of the US Mint 5-cent nickel versus the silver half-dime.  The US Treasury also issued Fractional Paper, an emergency scrip from the Civil War that circulated alongside coinage, even after the apparent necessity was gone.  People could have demanded hard money (as small silver coins), but they did not.  The paper was good enough.  Moreover, fractional coinage - and of course the paper - was a limited legal tender, typically good only for a dollar or two, maybe five, depending on the coins and the laws of the moment. 

Like Europe of the Middle Ages, America also knew apparent "bullion famines" during which times coins were scarce.  They left the country to buy goods from abroad.  That is what money is for.  At other times, with Americans goods being exported and business at home being brisk, merchants sold off their small change at a discount to get rid of the excess.  

Eric P. Newman was president of the American Numismatic Society.  With Kenneth Bressett, former president of the American Numismatic Association, Newman wrote The Fantastic 1804 Dollar.  He is less famous generally but perhaps more highly honored among serious numismatists for his many explorations of Colonial and Early US paper money and his many monographs on other topics.  According to one presentation, delivered at a Coinage of the Americas Conference, December 2, 1984, counterfeit copper coins of the colonial era circulated for over fifty years, into at least the late 1830s in the Appalachian villages of western Virginia.  In Canada, these small copper conveniences are known as "blacksmith tokens."  

Earlier this year, Bernard von Nothaus was convicted on federal charges for issuing his own Liberty Dollars.  Any active American coin collector with a Red Book knows that private issues in gold and copper claim a long and proud history independent of the faltering efforts of the U.S. Mint.  Private silver was unnecessary because of the masses of Spanish (and English, etc.) coins circulating at the time.  We know from old records that into the 1830s many merchants in Boston, New York, etc., kept their books in Pounds-Shillings-Pence.  Business with English partners was brisk; and traditions have strength. 

The Pounds-Shillings-Pence system itself was a radical innovation, a conceptual leap, an epistemological creation that remains unappreciated by those who are ignorant of the history of trade and commerce.  In the broad centuries we call the Middle Ages, any local authority with bullion could strike his (sometimes her) own coins. Much of it came from "plate" household goods of silver; much came from new mines. Easily a hundred different kinds of coins, struck to different standards, often of lower debased finenesses circulated.  Broadly, the old Roman pound continued, while the new German mark ascended.  To rationalize the chaos, bankers invented pounds-shillings-pence.  It did not matter how you built up the quantities, when the books were balanced, you needed 240 pence or 20 shillings (12 pence each) to make a pound (or 12 "Troyez" ounces) of fine silver.  Bankers in the Middle Ages invented abstract money of account to meet the demands of competing currencies. 
Silver penny of Hughes of Champagne,
about 1 gram: dameter of a dime.


This was spontaneous order.  No Dumbarton Oaks Agreement was needed.  No theoretical papers were published.  And no general law was enforced on all.  The Big Problem of Small Change by Thomas J. Sargent and Francoise Velde is a chronicle of monetary media in the Middle Ages.  As a time when Europe had perhaps a thousand independent polities, the stories carry meaning for anyone who wants to understand international monetary systems today.  The work has been criticized by economics professors of the Austrian school for its larger (and largely questionable) theoretical framework, but as a compendium, it is unexcelled.  

As I said in the previous post, there is no standard textbook in numismatics.  No one-volume Samuelson makes life easy for freshmen.  Nothing from any Foundation for Numismatic Education delivers "Numismatics in One Lesson" or the "The Cliches of Monetism."  You can start with the Red Book, the Breen Encyclopedia, the Garrett Collection.  But you will soon discover the new works from Whitman and Krause and Stanton.  Numismatics is active and aware, curious about new facts, fascinated by new discoveries, open to new explanations of accepted evidence... and always being tested in the largest unregulated money market on Earth.
Quinarius of Cato the Younger struck at Utica.
"Pro Per: for himself."  His own silver
financed republican resistance to
Julius Caesar.
ALSO ON NECESSARY FACTS

Friday, July 29, 2011

Innovation and Discovery

The merchants of Sumeria invented fiduciary instruments on clay tablets 3000 years before the first coin was struck.  Coins, philosophy, and democracy were invented all at the same time in the Hellenic hinterland of Middle Eastern civilization.  It is often the case that new ideas and the new cultural activities that spring from them come from the frontiers, not the centers.  Those centers are vital, analogous to the heart and brain of a person.  But we explore with our fingertips ...
The Chronicle of Higher Education online for July 24 featured news about a robotic retrieval system for archive storage installed at the University of Chicago.  The University of Chicago is an important school.  Like Harvard, MIT, the University of Michigan, Ohio State University, UNC Chapel Hill, Berkeley, Stanford, and a dozen others, it has instant name recognition.  However, the first automated retrieval system was installed at Cal State Northridge in 1991.  I benefited from ours at Eastern Michigan University. 
“The ARC was built as part of the new Bruce T. Halle Library in 1998 at a cost of $1.6 million...Eastern was the second university in the U.S. to install an industrial strength inventory control system adapted for library use ... ” (ARC Handout; courtesy of Keith Stanger, Information Services Librarian.)
Like Cal State Northridge (36,000 students), EMU (24,000 students) is a midrange school, not special, not famous for scientific research or football.   Yet, at least in my case, EMU did deliver world class education.  
I made the mistake of blowing through criminology with a lot of community college credits.  We have an “articulation agreement” between Washtenaw Community College and Eastern Michigan University. As a grad student, one summer, I met an undergrad whose feet never touched the ground running through two short summer terms toward a bachelor’s.  He missed a lot.  I would have, too, but as a graduate, I had Gregg Barak for crim theory and then for global crime.  An expert dialectician, he can argue any side of any topic; and we did that.  He loves facts and has no patience for unfounded opinions.  Long having enjoyed tenure, he has had the freedom to write textbooks which influence the next generation of criminologists.
I also profited from having Young S. Kim for the undergrad class in social science research.  Dr. Kim assigned two peer-reviewed articles each class and he encouraged us to read them carefully, even to check the arithmetic.  Kim and Barak are co-authors with Judge Donald Shelton on the only statistically rigorous studies of the so-called “CSI Effect.”
Majoring in criminology, I had a lot of sociology classes.  As an undergraduate and graduate, I benefited from Prof. Ronald Mark Westrum, a pioneer in complex organizations, along with Charles Perrow of Yale.  Ron Westrum was my prof for complex orgs, undergrad seminar, technology in society, and social problems.  For him, I wrote papers on the FBI as a complex organization, the history of coinage as a technology of commerce, and the benefits of healthy aging, among five or six others.  
I first enrolled as a freshman in 1967.  I never stopped going to school.  I enjoy learning, of course, but working in information systems since 1977, I had to ride the leading edge in computer programming with repeated classes in languages and applications, from BASIC to Java, and accounting to robotics.  When I came to EMU, I transferred in 180 credits from the College of Charleston, Case-Western Reserve, Cleveland State, Lansing Community College, New Mexico State, and Washtenaw.  Big and small, I’ve seen them all.  I feel sorry for kids who forego the opportunity to profit from small classes, and close interaction with the actual professor whose name appears in the catalog for that class, rather than being tutored by a grad student who lacks not just lifetime experience, but deep academic experience.  
When I enrolled at the College of Charleston, I was assigned Mark van Doren’s Liberal Education. Back then, C of C was a small four-year school with 450 enrolled.  One of our professors for European history was György Heltai who worked in the government of Hungary after WWII and was arrested, imprisoned and tortured in a Stalinist purge.  The professor of classics, Alexander Lenard, published his Latin translation of Winnie-the-Pooh.  My professor for chemistry, Carl Lykes, spent his summers at the Savannah River Nuclear Power Plant.  It was just a little old college, nothing special, but a place where world class intellectuals shared their working lives with any interested student.  
Over the years, I have had the “coasters” and “dodgers” excoriated in the recent report to the University of Texas by consultant Rick O’Donnell.  But I also benefited from “stars” and “pioneers.”  Like the invention of coinage, philosophy, and democracy, or the lightbulb, airplane, and computer, excellent education is drawn to the cultural centers, but it may not begin there.  
As Plato is famous for his Cave and Republic, F. A. Hayek’s stamp is “spontaneous order.”  Ludwig von Mises warned of “planned chaos.”  Certainly, I plan to be on a bus by 3:30 PM and be picked up by a taxicab at a transit center at 4:30 PM.  I have some control over those events only because the providers have known intentions of their own  which bring me at least one unplanned order of events.  It certainly works better than going to a government office, filling out some forms, and requesting two modes of transport for a personal motive.  When the Washington planners talk of high-speed rail, they do not think of Mike Marotta’s transient desires... or yours...  
Discovery, invention, and innovation cannot be planned.  Some schools have been successful with their robotic library retrieval systems.  But I know that the system does have failures - Perrow calls them “normal accidents” - and when the robot goes down, no one gets any books until a service technician shows up.  You can plan your actions; you cannot plan their consequences.
I usually blow off Chronicle articles.  I read this one.  And it worked out in an unplanned way.  As soon as I saw the headline, I planned to write this post.  The serendipity came toward the conclusion.   
The case for keeping print within reach is more complex than fuzzy rhetoric about the joy of serendipitous browsing. The research habits of Adrian Johns, a history professor at Chicago, give you a sense of why.Mr. Johns specializes in the history of the book; his recent work, Piracy, traces the intellectual-property wars from Gutenberg to Bill Gates. When a reporter visited his bright, fifth-floor office re­cently, the bespectacled British historian had just returned from a trip to Glasgow. He was interested in Robert Andrew Macfie, a 19th-century sugar magnate and member of Parliament who ran the first big campaign to abolish intellectual-property rights. A lot of Macfie material hasn't been digitized: pamphlets, election manifestos, correspondence. Much probably never will be, because there's little economic incentive.
Now I know about Robert Andrew Macfie.  

ALSO ON NECESSARY FACTS
Objective Intellectual Property Law
Copy Rights and Wrongs
Open Secrets